JECMER: Journal of Economic, Management and Enterpreneurship Research https://jurnal.eraliterasi.com/index.php/jecmer <p><strong>JECMER </strong>adalah jurnal ilmiah yang diterbitkan oleh CV Era Literasi Sains (ELS), dengan SK Menkumham: AHU-0012017-AH.01.14 Tahun 2023, dan Nomor Induk Berusaha (NIB): 1702230040365 Tahun 2023, sebagai wadah publikasi bagi dosen, mahasiswa, peneliti, dan praktisi untuk menyebarluaskan, mengembangkan, dan memfasilitasi hasil penelitian ilmiah atau kajian ilmiah dalam bidang <strong>Ekonomi, Manajemen </strong>dan<strong> Kewirausahaan.</strong></p> <p><strong>Ruang Lingkup Kajian:</strong> Ekonomi Manajerial, Ekonomi Bisnis, Ekonomi Koperasi, Manajemen Sumber Daya Manusia, Manajemen Pemasaran, Manajemen Operasional, Manajemen Keuangan, Manajemen Strategik, Manajemen Kewirausahaan, Manajemen Kinerja, Manajemen Rantai Pasokan, Pasar Modal dan Investasi, Tata Kelola Perusahaan, Etika Bisnis, Bisnis Digital, Sistem Pengendalian Manajemen, Sistem Informasi Manajemen, Keselamatan dan Kesehatan Kerja.</p> <p><strong>JECMER</strong> terbit 4 kali dalam satu tahun yaitu pada bulan <strong>Februari, Mei, Agustus </strong>dan<strong> November.</strong></p> CV Era Literasi Sains en-US JECMER: Journal of Economic, Management and Enterpreneurship Research Dinamika Ekspor–Impor dan Harga Minyak Mentah sebagai Penggerak Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia https://jurnal.eraliterasi.com/index.php/jecmer/article/view/408 <p><em>This study aims to examine the influence of exports, imports, and global oil prices on Indonesia’s economic growth over the period from 2011 to 2024. A quantitative approach is employed by applying the Error Correction Model to analyze the dynamics of both short-term and long-term relationships. The information was obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics, Investing, and other relevant sources, and was analyzed using the EViews 13 software to produce accurate and measurable estimates. The results of the study indicate that all variables do not exhibit a significant influence on economic growth in the long term. This suggests that the Indonesian economy is capable of gradually adjusting to external shocks through structural flexibility and market adaptation processes. Conversely, in the short term, exports, imports, and international oil prices show negative effects on economic growth, although these effects are not statistically significant. The significant coefficient of the Error Correction Term at the one percent level demonstrates the existence of a rapid adjustment process that restores the economy toward long-term equilibrium. These findings emphasize that changes in international trade and instability in global oil prices primarily exert economic pressure in the near term, while long-term stability depends heavily on the economy’s adaptive capacity and resilience. The results of this study can serve as a guideline for formulating trade and energy policies aimed at reducing the impact of external shocks on economic growth.</em></p> Arif Rakhman Copyright (c) 2025 JECMER: Journal of Economic, Management and Enterpreneurship Research 2025-11-20 2025-11-20 3 4 1 9